Modal verbs of deduction — must / can’t / may / might / could
What they mean (probability)
0%100%
- can’t = (almost) impossible / I’m sure it’s NOT true.
- may / might / could = maybe true (uncertain possibility).
- must = (almost) certain / I’m sure it’s true.
All these modals express a guess based on evidence.
Forms you’ll use
Time | Structure | Example |
---|---|---|
Now / future | modal + base verb | He must be tired. • She might know the answer. |
Action in progress | modal + be + -ing | They must be having lunch now. |
Past event | modal + have + V3 | He must have left. • They might have missed the bus. • It can’t have rained. |
Past in progress | modal + have been + -ing | She might have been waiting for hours. |
must (sure/almost sure)
- Strong positive deduction: The lights are off — they must be asleep.
- Past: The door was locked — he must have left earlier.
can’t (sure/almost sure NOT)
- Present: She can’t be at home; I saw her at work.
- Past: He can’t/couldn’t have taken it — he was abroad.
⚠️ Don’t use mustn’t for deduction. Mustn’t = prohibition.
may / might / could (possible)
- Present: That noise might be the neighbours.
- Past: She may/might/could have forgotten the time.
In deduction, could ≈ may/might (often slightly weaker). Negative: may/might not (not *can not).
Don’t use can for a specific deduction
- ❌ He can be at home now.
- ✅ He may/might/could be at home now.
Can is fine for general possibility: Winters can be very cold here.
Quick examples
- Evidence: Keys aren’t here. → They must be in the car.
- Evidence: It’s silent. → They might be studying.
- Past: Phone was off. → She could have been sleeping.
- Past (not true): Ticket unused. → He can’t have travelled.
Exercises:
Modal verbs of deduction: Must, may, might, could, can’t
Choose all the correct modal verbs of deduction for each gap below. In some sentences there are TWO possible correct answers.
1
The light’s on in his office — it
be Daniel working late.
2
I can’t find Mia — she
be in a meeting.
3
He posted a photo from Tokyo this morning — he
be in London now.
4
I heard a noise outside — it
be the wind.
5
There’s fresh flour on the counter — they
be baking bread.
6
The ground is dry — it
have rained last night.
7
The report is already on my desk — she
have sent it early.
8
The Wi-Fi is slow — the neighbors
be streaming a movie.
9
He said he’s broke, but he just bought a new Porsche — he
be short of money.
10
A: Who’s calling? B: I’m not sure — it
be the courier.
Modal verbs of deduction: Must, may, might, could, can’t
Choose the correct modal verbs of deduction to complete the sentences below.
1
The phone is ringing. It ____ be the courier — the tracking says “Out for delivery.”
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
2
She ____ be in love with him — yesterday she told me she hates him.
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
3
He ____ be at the gym right now — he often goes at this hour. (More than one answer possible)
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
4
This is not possible — you ____ be serious!
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
5
If he drives a brand-new Jaguar, he ____ be quite rich.
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
6
You should pick up the phone — it ____ be an important call. (More than one answer possible)
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
7
He ____ know the answer — he helped write the textbook.
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
8
You ____ be right, but it’s better if we check. (More than one answer possible)
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
9
He ____ be in class — I just saw him outside the library.
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
10
A: Who’s at the door? B: I’m not sure — it ____ be John. (More than one answer possible)
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
Modal verbs of deduction: Must, may, might, could, can’t
Complete the dialogues with must, might, might not or can’t.
Dialogue 1
1
A: There’s a laptop on the desk with our logo.
B: It be Jason’s — he’s the only one with that sticker.
2
A: Wait, Jason is in Berlin this week.
B: It be his.
3
A: Maybe it’s Mia’s?
B: It be — she borrowed one from IT.
4
A: But Mia uses a Mac. This is a PC.
B: Then it be hers.
5
A: The login screen says “Guest”.
B: It be a spare from IT.
Dialogue 2
6
A: Ben is thirty minutes late. He ran a marathon yesterday; he
be exhausted.
7
A: Or the traffic is heavy;
he be stuck.
8
B: He just posted a photo from the gym — he
be exhausted.
9
A: If the train is delayed, he
arrive by eight.
10
B: He just texted “parking the car” — he
be close.